NBA Today this week's edge picks · spreads + totals
NBA picks publish at opening night tipoff.
Bad Bets NBA edge model v0.1 (Bayesian net-rating + market blend). Pace + opponent strength + back-to-back fatigue + rest bonuses + Vegas line blend. Daily picks publish every morning once opening night lands Oct 21.
Bad Bets NBA edge model v0.1 (Bayesian net-rating + market blend). Pace + opponent strength + back-to-back fatigue + rest bonuses + Vegas line blend. Daily picks publish every morning once opening night lands Oct 21.
What this page will show
- Each game on the week's slate (TNF / Sunday early / late / SNF / MNF)
- Bad Bets model's win probability + recommended side (spread or moneyline)
- Total (over/under) edge when present
- AGREE / FLIP direction tag vs Vegas consensus
- Lock / Strong / Solid / Lean tier based on edge magnitude
- Weather, key injuries, line movement context