NBA Stats season performance · ATS · ROI · trends
🏆 Season Leaders top 25 · updated daily
…
until Week 1 kickoff · Oct 21, 2026
NBA edge model v0.1 — backtest pending.
Bayesian net-rating model with pace, opponent strength, back-to-back fatigue, rest bonuses, and Vegas line blend. Backtest against 2024-25 + 2025-26 results drops mid-September.
Live 2026-27 stats start populating after opening night Oct 21.
Bayesian net-rating model with pace, opponent strength, back-to-back fatigue, rest bonuses, and Vegas line blend. Backtest against 2024-25 + 2025-26 results drops mid-September.
Live 2026-27 stats start populating after opening night Oct 21.
What this page will show
- Season ATS record + units won/lost
- By-tier breakdown (Lock / Strong / Solid / Lean)
- AGREE vs FLIP split-out
- Home / away / favorite / underdog cuts
- Calibration curve — does the model's "65% confidence" actually hit 65%?
- Best + worst weeks, hot/cold streaks